The Environics Institute for Survey Research, in partnership with the Canada West Foundation, the Mowat Centre, the Centre D’Analyse Politique Constitution Fédéralisme (Montreal), the Institute for Research on Public Policy, and the Mulroney Institute of Government at StFX University, will be conducting a new national public opinion survey to give voice to Canadians on the future of the confederation.
This research will build on previous research conducted over the past several decades, including Environics’ Focus Canada, and the “Portraits of Canada” studies conducted by the Centre for Research and Information in Canada (CRIC). This new survey will update selected key opinion indicators, as well as mark a fresh starting point in focusing on emerging issues facing the country’s future. This study is intended to establish a new benchmark - the first in a series that will explore Canadian public opinion on the confederation of tomorrow as the early 21st century unfolds.
Topics to be covered in this initial survey and future iterations will include:
The survey will consist of interviews conducted online with a representative sample of 3,500 – 4,000 Canadians (aged 18 plus) across the country (including the Territories) and stratified to provide meaningful results by province and important demographic strata across the population. Additional oversamples of specific groups within the population will be added as the budget permits – this may include Indigenous Peoples and/or residents of specific provinces or territories.
The benchmark survey is scheduled to be conducted in November 2018 (following the 2018 Quebec election), with results to be publicly released in March 2019, in collaboration with one or more media partners (to be determined).
For much of the late 20th century, Canadian politics was dominated by high-stakes attempts to re-make or dismantle the country’s federation. First ministers met regularly for mega-constitutional deal-making, while successive Quebec and federal governments wrestled with iterations of pre- and post-referendum strategies. The 1990s alone witnessed a national referendum on the constitution, and second and narrowly-won referendum on Quebec independence, and two new regionally-based political parties – Reform and the Bloc Quebecois - taking turns as Her Majesty’s Loyal Opposition.
In recent years, it has appeared that such storms have now finally passed. A new generation of Canadians has come of age with no direct memories of national unity crises. Regional party fragments have once again coalesced around the traditional left-centre-right national options. And as other countries wrestle with the rise of inward-looking nativism, Canada appears to offer hope as a successful example of multiculturalism and multi-national federalism capable of reconciling unity and diversity.
At the same time, there remain unresolved issues that can easily divide Canadians along the fault-lines of region and identity. Controversies over transnational pipelines are pitting erstwhile regional allies against one another, while the country’s plan to meet international climate change obligations are at risk from several provinces now ready to challenge the wisdom of carbon pricing. Quebec’s recent position paper on its “way of being Canadian” awaits a serious reply from its partners in confederation, while Atlantic Canada continues to search for ways to offset its declining demographic and economic clout. And the lack of concrete actions to match verbal commitments towards reconciliation with Indigenous Peoples threatens to undermine the country’s harmony at home and reputation abroad.
In short, as Canada moves past its 150th birthday, new dimensions and challenges to the structure and governance of Canada are demanding greater attention. These issues are being considered by governments, think tanks and academics, but it is also important to hear from the rest of Canadians, who have both a say and a stake in the outcomes. It is often as important to listen to citizens during times of relative calm as it is during crises. And it is important to hear what a new generation of citizens have to say, both about the unresolved challenges they have inherited and the emerging challenges they are called upon to confront.
Other organizations may be invited to join the project as equal partners. Partners will have the opportunity to have a co-branded profile, contribute to the research focus and survey questions, receive in-depth briefings prior to public release, and be an equal partner in the media release. Partners are expected to contribute a minimum of 15 percent of the survey costs and/or assist in raising funds from other sponsors. The total budget for the core survey is $75K CDN (plus applicable taxes), with additional funds required for group oversamples.
Sponsorship opportunities are also available to organizations in any sector who contribute a minimum of $7,500 toward the project costs. Sponsors will be publicly recognized for their support, and given the opportunity for have input into the research focus and survey questions.
Keith Neuman, PhD Environics Institute [email protected]
Andrew Parkin Mowat Centre [email protected]